{"id":312221,"date":"2021-07-12T13:05:10","date_gmt":"2021-07-12T11:05:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.scribbr.nl\/?p=312221"},"modified":"2023-06-22T09:58:05","modified_gmt":"2023-06-22T07:58:05","slug":"correlation-vs-causation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.scribbr.com\/methodology\/correlation-vs-causation\/","title":{"rendered":"Correlation vs. Causation | Difference, Designs & Examples"},"content":{"rendered":"

Correlation<\/strong> means there is a statistical association between variables. Causation<\/strong> means that a change in one variable causes a change in another variable.<\/p>\n

In research, you might have come across the phrase \u201ccorrelation doesn\u2019t imply causation.\u201d Correlation and causation are two related ideas, but understanding their differences will help you critically evaluate sources<\/a> and interpret scientific research.<\/p>\n

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What\u2019s the difference?<\/h2>\n

Correlation<\/strong> describes an association between types of variables<\/a>: when one variable changes, so does the other. A correlation is a statistical indicator<\/a> of the relationship between variables. These variables change together: they covary. But this covariation isn\u2019t necessarily due to a direct or indirect causal link.<\/p>\n

Causation<\/strong> means that changes in one variable brings about changes in the other; there is a cause-and-effect relationship between variables. The two variables are correlated with each other and there is also a causal link between them.<\/p>\n

A correlation doesn\u2019t imply causation, but causation always implies correlation.<\/figure>\n

Why doesn\u2019t correlation mean causation?<\/h2>\n

There are two main reasons why correlation isn\u2019t causation. These problems are important to identify for drawing sound scientific conclusions from research.<\/p>\n

The third variable problem<\/strong> means that a confounding variable<\/a> affects both variables to make them seem causally related when they are not. For example, ice cream sales and violent crime rates are closely correlated, but they are not causally linked with each other. Instead, hot temperatures, a third variable, affects both variables separately. Failing to account for third variables can lead research biases<\/a> to creep into your work.<\/p>\n

The directionality problem<\/strong> occurs when two variables correlate and might actually have a causal relationship, but it\u2019s impossible to conclude which variable causes changes in the other. For example, vitamin D levels are correlated with depression, but it\u2019s not clear whether low vitamin D causes depression, or whether depression causes reduced vitamin D intake.<\/p>\n

You\u2019ll need to use an appropriate research design<\/a> to distinguish between correlational and causal relationships:<\/p>\n